“Vote with your arm” – Maurice de Hond

Article Summary

Looking back at the data analyzes at the start of the swine flu vaccination in 2009, we can learn a lot. So that a more targeted policy can be pursued with regard to the supporting third round. However, this does not happen. A growing proportion of the population is now voting with their arm not to show up.

Read the full article: “Vote with Your Arm”

reading time: 4 MinutesWhile writing my autobiography, I read some of the old articles I published during the 2009 swine flu and beyond. I came across a great article, especially with current knowledge about Covid-19.

Back to 2009

At the end of March 2009, a new type of influenza appeared in Mexico. Fear of “swine flu” has swept the earth. The call sign for this type of influenza has become “swine flu”. Dutch Minister Klink bought 34 million vaccines against this new type of influenza, which were delivered after the summer of 2009. Via Peil.nl I asked weekly questions about the development of influenza in the Netherlands. These numbers were in the fall of 2009. At the end of November 2009, the first round of vaccinations against swine flu began. Children over 60 years of age and the group of children aged 6 months to 4 years were identified. 75% of those groups appeared. The second round of vaccination was supposed to be at the end of December 2009, but by that time the Mexican flu was already gone and fewer people came to get vaccinated. (Even in countries without vaccination, the evolution of influenza numbers was similar, so the pattern in the Netherlands was not due to vaccinations in the first place.) By the end of 2009, an outbreak of swine flu was ubiquitous and a large portion of the vaccines purchased were eventually destroyed. I reported the relationship between vaccination and infection based on research I did in the following months via Peil.nl among 15,000 people. Below I repeat parts of that article from 2010. It is interesting to read in light of the position we now stand with regard to vaccination against Covid-19. Find out how poorly people know about their true risk of developing serious illness in relation to the potential harms of vaccination. Now a fragment follows From a 2010 article.

Excerpt from 2010

I have previously written about the debate over whether or not to vaccinate against swine flu. My biggest problem was that there were so few numbers available that it had more to do with faith. In the November 2009 discussion of whether or not children aged 6 months to 4 years should be vaccinated, she noted the lack of numerical evidence. It was pretended that the risk of swine flu was (very) great and that the risks were much greater than the risks associated with the vaccination itself. People who had doubts about it were either dismissed as conspiracy theorists or equated with the paranoid category who said there was a chip or something in the vaccine. For a layman like me, who was well acquainted online at the beginning of November 2009, there were a number of things that were already clear:
  • The level of swine flu turned out to be not so bad, as was the case in countries such as Australia and New Zealand (where it was winter, a circumstance that leads to infection with the influenza virus).
  • The scale of deaths (fortunately) wasn’t too bad.
  • Nowhere in the world, with the exception of the Netherlands, has been vaccinated twice.
  • There were only a few countries where the 6-month to 4-year-old group was widely vaccinated as an at-risk group.
Much of what I wrote in 2010.

Base on data!

A study was already available in October 2009 on the stress on healthcare in Australia and New Zealand due to the Mexican flu. Knowing today, it’s interesting to look at those numbers. The population of areas below 30°S in 2009 was equal to the population of the Netherlands now. More than 700 people infected with swine flu (H1N1) ended up in intensive care units, of whom 100 died. More than 90% of these patients were under 65 years of age. If we compare that with Covid-19 in 2020, the pressure on intensive care units in the spring of 2020 was much greater, with a greater focus on the elderly than the Mexican flu. It must be related to the fact that the elderly population already had a strong protection against this flu variant in 2009, but not yet against Covid-19 in 2020. Just looking around the internet carefully, I knew in September/October 2009 that already happily, Swine flu did not have consequences as feared in March 2009. Just by looking at the official numbers, as already available in studies in October 2009, our health authorities would have known this too. On this basis, one should be able to give more balanced advice than to vaccinate the indicated groups twice against swine flu, including children aged 6 months to 4 years. With a milder variant like Omikron and the broad protection the vast majority of residents already have, because they’ve been in contact with the virus since March 2020, a more specific campaign around the new booster could have been in line. But this is not what is happening in the Netherlands. The minimum age is only 12 years and above and not much is done to put the need for reinforcement into perspective. But a large percentage of the Dutch now “vote with their feet,” as the expression goes. But you should probably call it now: “Vote with their arm now.” They are not taking the latest booster dose. It is partially affected by those who became infected after the last vaccination. Like Rochelle Wallinsky, the American counterpart Liap Van Dissel. Within one month of receiving her fifth, she reported contracting Covid-19. In the over 60-year-old group, the proportion of those who get support again is about 50%. The percentage is much lower in younger age groups, but they were called later. Infection numbers are now declining, but a new variant is already being examined. However, this has not led to more serious disease cases in other countries, where this variant is already greater. We will see how the force field will develop in the coming period in relation to the continuing threat of Covid-19 and the desensitization of the population to these stories.

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