Poll: BBB Rising More, Nitrogen Plans Weakening – Nitrogen Policy

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Policy nitrogen

Today 12:15 PM

BoerBurgerBeweging (BBB) ​​continues to rise in Maurice de Hond’s weekly House poll. Leader Caroline van der Plas’s party now has three more seats than main rival D66. The vast majority believe that the nitrogen targets set by the government should be modified and mitigated.

If elections are held now, the BBB could take into account up to 14 seats. That’s 13 more than the current one-seat seat in the House of Representatives, and one more than the last poll taken a week ago. This makes BBB the third party in the Netherlands, after VVD and PVV. The two current main parties in Parliament, the VVD and the D66, are both losing hard again. VVD has 22 seats in the poll, 12 fewer than now. The D66 ended with 11 seats, meaning Sigrid Kag’s party was split by more than half. On the left side of the political spectrum, GroenLinks and PvdA are gaining momentum, as are the Animals Party and the Volt. With 7 seats in the poll, the Christian Democratic Alliance continues to suffer a sharp loss of 8 seats compared to the current 15 seats. (Read more under the table)

Source: Peil.nl

Low confidence in the RIVM nitrogen model
More than a week after Christian van der Waal, the Minister of Nature and Nitrogen, presented the nitrogen plans, de Hond surveyed voter support for the nitrogen policy. In general, it turns out that there is (just) nothing. An overwhelming majority of two-thirds of voters believe that nitrogen policy goals should be modified and nitrogen plans should be watered down. Also remarkable is the lack of confidence in the RIVM’s Aerius model, which calculates nitrogen emissions. Only 29% of voters don’t see it. Voters from D66 (76%) and GroenLinks (70%) believe the Aerius model gives a good picture of nitrogen emissions, but many voters from all other parties (including the Animal Party, PvdA and Volt) have reservations about this. Bee.

A slim majority of 51% disagree with the goal of reducing nitrogen emissions by 50% by 2030. Left wing (D66, GroenLinks, PvdA, Volt, PvDD) is convincing for this goal. Remarkably, VVD voters support this goal by a narrow margin (51%), while 37% of CDA voters support this goal. The BBB voter (6%) does not convincingly agree with this goal, as do voters for PVV, JA21, and the Democracy Forum. An equally small majority of 52% believe that livestock does not need a 30% reduction, which, according to van der Waal, would be an effect of the nitrogen policy. Two-thirds of the Emperors (66%) believe nitrogen emissions around the Natura2000 areas do not need to be reduced by 70%, which means a more flexible policy for agricultural entrepreneurs there.

Nitrogen deserves a government crisis
It should also be noted that nearly two-thirds of voters (64%) think the nitrogen policy is worth a government crisis. Only the voter of VVD and ChristenUnie does not, almost all other parties – and of course also the opposition parties – do. The characteristic is that 57% of D66 voters think the nitrogen plans merit a ministerial crisis and therefore possibly a new election. In the current coalition, the D66 is currently alone in persevering in implementing the current nitrogen plan. VVD members voted in favor of the amendment and only the CDA and ChristenUnie want to pass judgment on the “farm plan” so that all other nitrogen plans for industry, Schiphol and housing, among other things, are known.

In any case, nine months before the national elections for the provincial council, Maurice de Hond notes that the nitrogen file “will not give much opportunity to improve the electoral situation of the four government parties together”. The four ruling parties VVD, D66, CDA and ChristenUnie are now losing 31 seats at the polls.


Eric Castles

Eric is the editor-in-chief of Boerenbusiness. As a descendant of a cultivable family, a farmer’s blood flows through Eric’s veins. He considers himself a generalist, but prefers economics, trends, markets, and marketing.

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